One characteristic of traders is that most suffer from ADD. They are not satisfied to sit still very long and they are always looking for something new to trade.
Our track record for August was good with only one losing trade and six winners, but we closed out the Euro which was a July trade with a loss. We have to be mindful how a loss affects our trading. Most of us cannot get around the human tendency to try to "get it back" on the next trade. We can get it back if we are patient and wait for good set ups. We are about to get several of those.
I think we will soon have daily cycle low's in the stock market and energy. We should get opportunities as soon as tomorrow to buy. The NASDAQ has not had an oversold RSI reading since March. We could have this tomorrow. I am not sure we will get a swing low or a hammer tomorrow but we could. The government frequently intervenes on Monday's to get people to start buying for a new week of trading. I am thinking we could try to step in before the market closes on Friday at a good price to take advantage of the intervention.
Margin on the NQ has increased to $17,600 and is $1,760 for the mini's. I will find a way to explain how this could be the starting place to build a large position in the stock market. You don't need to start out with a full size contract, but everybody should be ready to buy at least one micro.
I also believe we could be reaching a good place to begin an energy trade....most likely crude oil. If you are a farmer, this could be a good place to begin hedging your diesel fuel needs, either filling your tank or buying heating oil futures. Crude and heating oil are already at levels that could be considered DCL's. We await confirmation for a long trade in energy.
So let's be patient. Lets try to do a better job position sizing. If we produce 6 good trades a month spread around different assets, we should not be getting caught in one trade that sets us back. There are several different things we are looking at and these are two of them.
The Speculation page is used for educational purposes and to talk about current trades we are in. The Pit is where we post new trade recommendations. This is also a blog page where you can ask questions, post your thoughts or ask for help. Be sure to use an anonymous name as you may not want your neighbor knowing what you are up to.